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Satellite AI for Indian landfill methane

Methane is invisible. VayuNetra makes it visible.

Satellite AI that finds, verifies and measures methane from India's landfills — and turns it into action.

Scenes analysed
674
Control false alarms
0 of 334
Last scan
27 Dec 2025
Worker
offline

Live from the VayuNetra database

The problem

Landfill methane is large, fast-acting and mostly unmeasured

Delhi's Ghazipur landfill caught fire. Fires and methane come from the same buried waste.

Source: CNN, April 2024

No one measures it landfill by landfill.

The invisible signal

Deonar landfill, Mumbai, 6 January 2025

Sentinel-2's true-colour view of Deonar. The landfill mound, the creek and the city around it look ordinary.

Methane dims one infrared band by only a few percent. The eye cannot see it; the retrieval and the model can.

T1T1 methane-confident: about 20.2 t/h (68% range 15.1–25.0 t/h), wind 5.1 m/s. Unconfirmed: queued for a hyperspectral check.

Screening-grade satellite estimate: confirm with a hyperspectral satellite, an OGI drone or a ground survey before enforcement or carbon crediting.

Sentinel-2 true-colour chip of Deonar landfill on 6 January 2025
MBMP methane signal for Deonar on 6 January 2025: red where shortwave-infrared band 12 is darker than in clean passes
VayuNetra plume mask in orange over Deonar on 6 January 2025, with the wind arrow pointing south

Scroll or use the buttons to move through the evidence

How it works

From a free satellite pass to an action dossier

  1. 01

    Sentinel-2 pass

    Free Sentinel-2 imagery arrives about every 5 days. Every new pass over a site is cut into a chip around the landfill.

  2. 02

    MBMP retrieval

    The multi-band multi-pass method compares the two shortwave-infrared bands with earlier clean passes of the same place.

  3. 03

    AI segmentation

    A U-Net with a ResNet-50 encoder, pretrained on Sentinel-2 (SSL4EO-S12) and trained on 3,552 real plumes plus simulated ones, outlines the plume and scores the scene.

  4. 04

    Physics gate

    Methane darkens band 12 strongly, band 11 weakly and visible light not at all, and a plume lies along the wind. Fires, moisture and fresh waste fail these tests.

  5. 05

    kg/h with uncertainty

    The plume's integrated mass and the ERA5-Land wind give an emission rate with a 68% range. In calm wind no rate is reported.

  6. 06

    Action dossier

    Each site gets a dossier with the evidence, the rate and the next step for MoHUA, CPCB/SPCBs and the municipal corporation.

Proof

Global benchmark on held-out test sites

VayuNetra against the classic MBMP method, scored on sites the model never saw in training.

ROC AUC

0.5 is a coin toss: the score cannot tell plumes from clean scenes. The classic method scores 0.513, close to that. VayuNetra scores 0.759.

Recall by emission rate (t/h)

Above 3 t/h VayuNetra finds 3 to 6 times more plumes than the classic method. Below 1 t/h it finds fewer: 0.09 against 0.27.

Plume outline (pixel IoU)

How well the drawn outline overlaps the true plume: 0.312 against 0.077, about four times closer.

Emission rate within ±50%

For 58% of 839 real plumes the estimated rate is within ±50% of the published MARS rate. The median ratio is 1.02, so estimates are not biased high or low.

At the operating threshold: precision 0.779 vs 0.602, recall 0.303 vs 0.144, false-alarm rate 8.6% vs 9.6%.

Every accuracy figure and matrix, in one place →

India field test

Five landfills, two years, a control point beside each

January 2024 to December 2025. Each landfill has a control point 5 km away that should never show a plume.

clear Sentinel-2 scenes
674
control false alarms
0/334
landfill flags
14
T1 · T2 · T3
1 · 2 · 11

Site 1 of 5 · Delhi, Delhi

Ghazipur

69 passes · 3 flags

Flagged pass

T3 surface change, rejected as methane

12 June 2025 · moisture · Wind 3.4 m/s

  • Control point 5 km north: 0 flags in 68 passes
  • Persistent emission above 5 t/h would have produced more flags (95%).

Street-level 360° view near Ghazipur

The physics gate

Fourteen flags, sorted by physics

VayuNetra checks itself before it alerts anyone.

Every landfill flag goes through the same spectral and wind tests. Most turn out to be the landfill's surface changing, not methane.

Methane-confident

0
  • Deonar, 6 Jan 2025

    T1 · passes the spectral and wind tests

Probable, needs confirmation

0
  • Okhla, 29 Nov 2024

    T2 · near-miss on one test

  • Bhalswa, 18 May 2025

    T2 · near-miss on one test

Surface change, rejected

0
  • Deonar, 31 May 2024

    T3 · moisture

  • Ghazipur, 12 Jun 2025

    T3 · moisture

  • Pirana, 2 Dec 2024

    T3 · fresh waste

  • Okhla, 4 Dec 2024

    T3 · fresh waste

  • Bhalswa, 13 May 2025

    T3 · moisture

  • Okhla, 10 Oct 2025

    T3 · moisture

  • Okhla, 10 Oct 2024

    T3 · fresh waste

  • Deonar, 22 Mar 2025

    T3 · moisture

  • Okhla, 28 May 2024

    T3 · moisture

  • Ghazipur, 20 Oct 2025

    T3 · burn scar

  • Ghazipur, 28 Apr 2025

    T3 · burn scar

From detection to action

What the Deonar dossier asks for

Deonar's minimum time-averaged rate is 301 kg/h, a minimum estimate of about 71,000 t CO₂e per year (GWP100 = 27).

  1. 01

    Confirm

    Task a hyperspectral satellite or fly an OGI-camera drone over the flagged cell.

  2. 02

    Capture the gas

    Wells and a header on the flagged cell. At 60% capture: about 41,900 t CO₂e avoided per year.

  3. 03

    Generate power

    About 0.9 MW electric, worth about ₹3.8 crore a year.

  4. 04

    Carbon credits

    About $419,000 a year from the avoided emissions.

Assumptions

  • minimum rate 301 kg/h
  • capture 60%
  • flare/engine destruction 98%
  • GWP100 27
  • CH₄ heating value 50 MJ/kg
  • engine efficiency 35%
  • tariff ₹5/kWh
  • carbon price $10/t

All values are assumptions and editable in the dashboard settings.

Open the Deonar dossier (PDF)

Screening-grade satellite estimate: confirm with a hyperspectral satellite, an OGI drone or a ground survey before enforcement or carbon crediting.

Honest by design

A free screener, then a confirmation

Tier 1: free screener

Sentinel-2, every new pass, every site. Finds candidates and rules out most surface changes.

Tier 2: confirmation

Hyperspectral satellite, OGI drone or ground survey on the flagged cell.

Enforcement or carbon crediting

Persistent-emission upper bounds (95%)

A steady emitter at or above this rate would have produced more flags than we saw.

  • Ghazipur≤ 5 t/h
  • Bhalswa≤ 5 t/h
  • Deonar≤ 10 t/h
  • Pirana≤ 10 t/h
  • Okhla≤ 20 t/h

Limits, stated plainly

  • Over dense Indian landfills a single pass catches about 25–35% of plumes of 10 t/h or more.
  • Below 1 t/h the model finds 9% of plumes.
  • Fine-tuning on Indian backgrounds did not improve held-out detection (AUC ≈ 0.55). The limit is the Sentinel-2 signal against dense urban backgrounds, which is why VayuNetra has two tiers.
  • In a known-truth test on an Indian background, the estimated rate was 0.98× the injected rate at 10 t/h.
  • The Deonar T1 event stays unconfirmed until the hyperspectral check.
  • Every rate on this page is screening-grade.

The film

VayuNetra in five minutes

Our initiative

Why we built VayuNetra

Landfill gas can be captured and burned for power, but only where someone has found it. Sentinel-2 is free and passes over every Indian city about every 5 days. We built VayuNetra to turn those passes into site-by-site evidence a municipal corporation or pollution control board can act on.

Team

Team lead: Jiyad Hussain, Amity University, Noida. Built for the Net Zero AI Architecture hackathon.

Open source

The code is MIT-licensed on GitHub: the worker, the database schema and this website.

View on GitHub

Alignment

  • Swachh Bharat Mission-Urban 2.0 targets legacy dumpsite remediation.
  • India's net-zero target is 2070.

Roadmap

  1. 01

    5 landfills

    Delhi, Mumbai and Ahmedabad, with control points

  2. 02

    50 dumpsites

    Legacy dumpsites in the remediation programme

  3. 03

    State-wide monitoring

    Every new pass, every site in a state

Partner with us

For municipal corporations, SPCBs and CPCB: we will screen your sites and share the dossiers.

Partner with us